¿Qué significa para la región la capacidad israelí de golpear a Irán?
Published date | 19 April 2024 |
Author | AMIR BOHBOT |
Publication title | Jerusalem Post, The: Web Edition Articles (Israel) |
Israel se vio obligado a montar una respuesta militar a la agresión iraní entre el sábado y el domingo. Con presiones diplomáticas de los EE. UU. y otros, ha quedado claro que Israel, bajo tal presión, buscaría "enviar un mensaje" sin escalar a un enfrentamiento directo y prolongado con Irán.
Analizando informes extranjeros sobre la operación relativamente secreta, donde drones pesados atacaron una base aérea militar iraní en respuesta a un ataque a una base aérea militar israelí en el Negev, parece ser una simple ecuación de tit-for-tat. Sin embargo, los ataques focalizados y limitados de Israel contra objetivos iraníes buscan permitir espacio para la negación iraní y evitar desencadenar una respuesta escalada.
La moderación de los EE. UU. y el continuo enfoque en la Franja de Gaza también limitan las acciones de Israel. Abrir un nuevo teatro de guerra contrarrestaría los intereses de Israel en este momento.
Las preocupaciones de Israel también provienen del fracaso de la comunidad de inteligencia para evaluar adecuadamente la agresividad cambiante de Irán en medio de una alianza cada vez más profunda con Rusia. La decisión de los iraníes de intensificar el conflicto interestatal...
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