Israel should not retaliate now, a measured strike is the best message, says TAU Iran expert

• Published date: 16 April 2024
• Author: FELICE FRIEDSON/THE MEDIA LINE
• Publication title: Jerusalem Post, The: Web Edition Articles (Israel)

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Through a detailed examination of Iran's tactics, including the use of proxy conflicts and deliberate avoidance of direct military confrontation, Menashri offered his insights regarding the broader implications of the strike for regional stability, the calculated nature of Iran's actions, and how Israel's international alliances and internal pressures will evolve under Prime Minister Netanyahu's leadership.

Menashri emphasized that Iran's strategy is intricately planned, aiming to signal its capabilities without escalating to a full-scale war. "Iran absolutely doesn't want this conflict to deteriorate and involve Iran itself," he explained. He, instead, pointed to a broader Iranian strategy to extend its influence across the region while avoiding the costs of direct conflict, adding, "They established this ring of axis of resistance with proxies to do for them the job. … This was not the moment that the Iranians wanted this to erupt or escalate."

Iran, though believed to be driven solely by ideology, also follows pragmatism

Additionally, Menashri provided The Media Line insights into the character and strategic mindset of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, highlighting the founding father of the Islamic Republic's pragmatic approach to governance. Menashri noted, "Khomeini was not merely a radical ideologue but a pragmatic leader who often placed strategic interests above ideological purity." He referenced Khomeini's readiness to issue fatwas that contradicted traditional religious principles if they served the state's needs, demonstrating flexibility in leadership that prioritized the regime's survival and stability over strict religious adherence.

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