Irán buscó cambiar la 'ecuación' de su confrontación con Israel
Published date | 16 April 2024 |
Author | SETH J. FRANTZMAN |
Publication title | Jerusalem Post, The: Web Edition Articles (Israel) |
En Iraq ha utilizado proxies para atacar a la Región del Kurdistán y apuntar a las fuerzas estadounidenses en los últimos cinco años. También ha atacado directamente la región. Atacó a Pakistán y Siria en enero, alegando apuntar a terroristas. Irán está expandiendo su disposición a atacar directamente desde Irán. Esto representa una nueva era en términos de la apertura de Irán para llevar a cabo estos ataques y atribuirse el mérito de los mismos.
Debe recordarse que en 2019, cuando Irán atacó la instalación Abqaiq de Arabia Saudita utilizando drones y misiles, inicialmente los hutíes respaldados por Irán en Yemen asumieron la responsabilidad. Los hutíes estaban dispuestos a asumir la culpa para que Irán pudiera evitar represalias por parte de Riad. Pero quedó claro que fue Irán quien llevó a cabo el ataque.
¿Se ha establecido un nuevo precedente en Oriente Medio?
Hoy en día, Irán ha pasado del ataque a Abqaiq o al ataque a las fuerzas estadounidenses en la base de Assad en 2020, llevado a cabo en represalia por el asesinato por parte de Estados Unidos del jefe de la Fuerza Quds de los IRGC, Qasem Soleimani, y está dispuesto a lanzar cientos de misiles y drones contra Israel.
Esto marca un nuevo estándar e implica que Irán podría llevar a cabo ataques masivos en el futuro. También significa que si Irán ataca a Israel con unos pocos drones y misiles, esto se verá como un ataque menor por el cual Irán reclamará inmunidad. Irán ha observado cómo algunos comentaristas calificaron su ataque del 13 al 14 de abril como "simbólico". En realidad, el ataque fue masivo e sin precedentes.
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